ARBA Auto Logo
ARBA Auto
  • Home
  • Features
    • Feature List
    • Quick Setup
    • Calculators
      • Calculator: Car depreciation
      • Calculator: kWh/100 to MPGe
      • Calculator: MPGe to Energy Consumption and Fuel Equivalent
      • Calculator: kWh/100km to L/100km
      • Calculator: kWh to litres through price
  • Blog
  • User Guide
  • Support
    • FAQ
    • Contact Us
    • Search

User Guide

Getting Started

  • Create an Account
  • Account Setup
  • Adding and Setting Up a Vehicle
  • Paid Extensions
  • Support The Project

Mileage Tracking

  • Mileage Tracking
  • Mileage Forecast
  • Mileage Reports

Expense and Income Tracking

  • Expense Tracking
  • Recurring Expenses
  • Expense Categories
  • Total Cost of Vehicle Ownership
  • Income Tracking
  • Travel Cost Calculator
  • Expense and Income Reports

Fuel Tracking

  • Fuel Tracking
  • Charging Tracking
  • Standard Method
  • Optimal Method
  • Fuel Consumption Forecasting
  • Fuel Consumption Reports

Maintenance Plan

  • Planning a maintenance plan
  • Implementing a maintenance plan

Analysis Tools

  • Dashboard
  • Charts

Data Import and Export

  • Data Import
  • Data Export
  • Device Synchronization
  • Offline Mode
  • Home
  • Knowledge Base
  • Fuel Tracking
  • Fuel Consumption Forecasting

Fuel Consumption Forecasting

Fuel consumption forecasting is based on mileage prediction (D), which is calculated using a machine learning method with an additive model and the MCMC (Markov Chain Monte Carlo) algorithm. The model is trained considering trends, seasonality factors, and a series of regressive components.

E – Efficiency

If there is more than 12 months of full history in the app, the current value is used for each predicted month. July is copied to July, and December to December. This allows for the most accurate consideration of seasonal changes in your car’s fuel consumption.

If the history is less than 12 months, the app calculates the average value and applies it to the entire predicted period. In this case, the seasonal factor is not taken into account.

Fuel Efficiency
Fuel Efficiency

P – Price

The ARBA Auto app does not attempt to predict changes in fuel and electricity prices. The last (current) non-zero price at which you purchased fuel or electricity is used for all calculations.

Fuel Price
Fuel Price

T – Total Fuel (Charged)

The amount of fuel needed to travel the predicted distance is calculated by the formula: T = D / E; Where D is the distance, and E is the fuel efficiency.

Total Fuel
Total Fuel

FC – Fuel (Energy) consumption

The fuel consumption forecast is calculated by the formula: FC = T / D * 100

Where T is the amount of fuel, and D is the distance.

Fuel Consumption
Fuel Consumption

A – Total Spent (Fuel /energy expenses)

Calculated by the formula: A = T * P

Where T is the amount of fuel, and P is the price.

Fuel Cost
Fuel Cost

C – Trip cost (Cost per km/mi)

The trip cost is calculated by the formula: C = A / D

Where A is the fuel expenses, and D is the distance.

Cost
Cost

US MPG – How many miles a car travels using 1 gallon of fuel

For the US, this is calculated by the standard formula: US MPG = D / T,

Where D is the distance, and T is the total fuel input. For all other countries, a conversion from the metric system is additionally applied.

MPG
MPG

US MPGe – Equivalent to the US MPG indicator for electric vehicles

The indicator is calculated based on data D (distance) and T (total purchased electricity) with subsequent conversion of kWh to gallons and translation from the metric system. Here you will find a calculator that applies this formula. You can experiment with your car’s values.

MPGe
MPGe

Read more about the forecast feature in our blog.

Was this article helpful?
Updated on March 16, 2023
Optimal MethodFuel Consumption Reports
ARBA DC Logo

© 2022 ARBA International B.V. 

APP

  • Home
  • Features & Pricing
  • Blog

USER SUPPORT

  • User Guide
  • Contact Us
  • FAQ

INFO

  • Privacy Policy
  • Cookie Policy
  • Terms & Conditions
  • English
  • Nederlands
  • Deutsch
  • Русский
  • Home
  • Features
    • ← Back
    • Feature List
    • Quick Setup
    • Calculators
      • ← Back
      • Calculator: Car depreciation
      • Calculator: kWh/100 to MPGe
      • Calculator: MPGe to Energy Consumption and Fuel Equivalent
      • Calculator: kWh/100km to L/100km
      • Calculator: kWh to litres through price
  • Blog
  • User Guide
  • Support
    • ← Back
    • FAQ
    • Contact Us
    • Search
Manage Cookie Consent
We use cookies to personalise content and to analyse our traffic. Consenting to these technologies will allow us to process data such as browsing behavior or unique IDs on this site. Not consenting or withdrawing consent, may adversely affect certain features and functions.
Functional Always active
The technical storage or access is strictly necessary for the legitimate purpose of enabling the use of a specific service explicitly requested by the subscriber or user, or for the sole purpose of carrying out the transmission of a communication over an electronic communications network.
Preferences
The technical storage or access is necessary for the legitimate purpose of storing preferences that are not requested by the subscriber or user.
Statistics
The technical storage or access that is used exclusively for statistical purposes. The technical storage or access that is used exclusively for anonymous statistical purposes. Without a subpoena, voluntary compliance on the part of your Internet Service Provider, or additional records from a third party, information stored or retrieved for this purpose alone cannot usually be used to identify you.
Marketing
The technical storage or access is required to create user profiles to send advertising, or to track the user on a website or across several websites for similar marketing purposes.
Manage options Manage services Manage vendors Read more about these purposes
View preferences
{title} {title} {title}